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7 Reasons Why I Should Not Be Trading Forex
Thursday, April 12, 2007

This seems like the same old drivel coming out of my mouth but I can't seem to get back on track with my forex "project."

These are reasons why you (or I) should not be trading forex right now:

  1. You lack the motivation - Personally, I really need to get back to live trading because this alone is a motivator but it wouldn't be wise to do so if I have no plan.  It's sort of a catch-22, the need to trade live to continue my learning but the inevitable failure that will accompany this if I have no plan.  Is it as simple as developing a plan? Here lies the lack of motivation.
  2. You lack the time - It's one thing if you lack motivation but if you lack time also, it's tough to get into sync to make real progress.  This is the same old story.  Don't we all need more hours in the day. 
  3. You lack the money - After all, you can't just expect to do this full-time if you have $200 and a dream.  You need a nice comfortable base capital if you plan on doing this for a living.   With everything that has gone on with me in the past year, I need to build up my reserves, more than what they are now. 
  4. You lack a strategy and plan - You can dive right in and start trading like a mad man but what hopes do you have for success.  I find myself sitting in front of charts forcing myself to find a strategy so that I can trade.  Putting this pressure on myself to find a strategy isn't working at this point.  I'm lost right now with no hopes of recovering.  I've been able to in the past but this time, it isn't happening so quickly.
  5. You lack organization - Lacking organization could be the reason for #4.  I've been trying to organize my life so that I can better organize all aspects of my trading life.  Right now everything seems in disarray and this lack of organization makes it hard to develop a real plan. 
  6. You lack the tools - The tools I'm talking about are charting platforms or books.  Books are important but there's enough free information out on the internet to make your brain spin so not having them shouldn't halt your progress.  I've found most of the information in books repetitive anyway.  A charting platform though is a necessity for trading.  If you're only interested in trading forex, you can use Metatrader for free.
  7. You lack experience - Yet another catch-22, you need experience to trade successfully but you can't get experience to trade successfully if you don't trade.  My solution to you would be to trade in micro-lots or compete in some trading contests that add more meaning to your demo account.
Unfortunately most of these reasons apply to me at this point in my life but hopefully they won't always.  I think the #1 reason why personally I shouldn't trade is that I currently lack the motivation. Don't get me wrong, I think about forex everyday.  I think my lack of motivation is created from the lack of time, strategy, plan, and organization.  The harder I search for these, the less motivation I have.  This isn't a "poor me" post but it could be the last words from a failed trader.  There are so many failed traders out there that just decided to not fight through the difficulties and found it easier to give up either because they had to (they were dead broke) or because they no longer wanted it.  I still want it, which to me is financial freedom.  Is trading forex the way to get it? I don't know, that was the point of this whole website but I'm still trying to figure that out.  I've been here before, standing at the edge wondering if this is just destined to fail.  But as I've said before, I really need to give myself to this for 5 years and I'm only 2 years in.  
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Quote
No. 1 :
I have traded for aprox a yr now and have suffered losses. I am disciplined and patient when i trade. I have experienced trades closing out on me for no reason ( I had enough margin to cover me). Spreads that differed even on a non news day. The experience that i have had with a certain forex broker was not forthcoming. I def. think the house has a edge on the retail trader. I am not disgruntled or mad, i just think that is the way it is. Unless you trade the actual forex market you will lose. I was reading an article in futures today explaining that the forex is largely unregulated. Of course most of the brokers are NFA and CFTC associated but it does not mean the brokers are on the up and up. I choose to trade other markets where the edge is more in my favor. What are other peoples thoughts?
66.91.72.126
Submitted by Forex Trader • 2007-04-12 20:43:16
Quote
No. 2 :
I have been in it roughly about the same amount of time as Rich, I have lost and won etc, I find what works for me is long term price action (ala James16), I look at the charts once a day, it's less mentally toxic this way. Anything lower that daily on the majors is just chaos. I'll say it again at the risk of being slammed, indicator systems just don't work, end of story. As for Rich's mental slump, I'll not to sure what to say, I can relate to what he is saying I had a pretty terrible year personally last year and at certain points really had to push myself to carry on, but you just have to work though it, this is easy to say, not easy to do.
60.234.149.66
Submitted by Forex Trader • 2007-04-13 14:32:58
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No. 3 :
For me forex is no childs play. It took 1 year just to learn what forex really is. Once i know the beast I learn to avoid blocking its way. For those of you who traded for 1 year and hope for profit then its a loss hope. A good trader is someone who is very discipline. If you are on the winning side of the trade there is nothing the broker can do to u. They can hold the price but eventually they have to give u your winning post. Ive passed my 1 year mark and now using a system that is very sensitive. So far my trades are good. Hopefully the system can give me good signal all my life
60.52.41.205Website
Submitted by Rusdhi Mohamad • 2007-04-14 02:43:22
Quote
No. 4 :
You must change your mental attitude first from a normal person to that of a speculator. Almost all traders I have met, except a few successful ones who really made millions and billions trading in the market, simply waste all their time trying to learn the easiest part in perfection, like about how to read data and charts, and trying to perfect entry and exit skills, etc. Trading is a mind game and without having a right frame of mind, it is a losing game even before it starts. Training a trader�s mind is the first step for any successful trader but almost all new traders neglect that part and that explains why more than 95% of traders are a failure in the long run.

Acquiring the knowledge of the market is not difficult for anyone with average intelligence after a few years of hard study in the market. But it is neither the level of intelligence nor the knowledge that decides the outcome of the market operations of a trader. It is the decision making process that is so hard for most traders to overcome and that is the main reason for a success or a failure for all the traders. Some find it easy to make decisions and stick to it and most find it so hard to make decisions and stick to it. Unfortunately, any decision making process in trading is a pain-taking process and humans tend to avoid pains and go for pleasures even if for temporary ones. Assuming one has acquired enough market knowledge and acquired one�s proven trading system (this is the second most important element of success in trading, in fact. An edge in any system is based on the quality of info one has, charts being only an info of secondary quality not the best one)
24.45.29.200
Submitted by brooklyn • 2007-04-17 01:16:44
Quote
No. 5 :
Through studies and research, a trader faces the task of making decisions to put this knowledge and system into practice. Then, how many traders can honestly say they can commit their ranch when the trade is suggested by their own system (given that trading is just a chance game) and let the profit run for weeks and months when their system tells them, and how many can manage to cut the loss as a routine process when the situation arise. It all sounds so easy when saying it but so difficult when doing it affecting real money in the market. I still do not sleep well when I am running position because even if the profits are running into a few hundred dollars and the system is telling you to carry on, there is no guarantee that the profit will turn into a yard or two in a month time, and it may even turn into a loss in a day or two when something unexpected happens. A painstaking process in real sense. The pain is not knowing what will happen in the future and in fear of losing. So at the end of the day, assuming one has decent trading system and market knowledge and decent info, it is ultimately how disciplined and how well that trader can take the pain of making right decisions at the right time that decides the outcome of the trades. Hence I call trading a mind game. When I interview prospective young traders, I always look for disciplined and strong-willed person as my first priority as long as one has decent education, but strangely in many cases, it is some kind of genius or half-genius with lots of brains with no disciplines who turn up for an interview thinking only bright people can make good traders.

In fact, I always try to pyramid while position trading medium-term once I am convinced of a new medium-term trend emerging. Like in USD/JPY position trading 135-132 as an initial position, adding in 132 and 129 areas. Same for AUD/USD and EUR/USD with similar strategies. But sitting on positions and watching the counter-rallies costing truck load of money is not easy job to do and causes lots of pain all the time. Most traders even among experienced ones cannot bear that pain and give up too early. But there is no other way to make a big money and we have to bite the bullet and "sit and accumulate" as long as the medium-term trend is intact. That is why I always believe psychological aspects of trading is far more important than anything else in successful trading. A mind game like those bluffing game of poker.

Entries and exits can never be "irrelevant" for any trader for any purpose. It is just that psychological aspects of trading are much more important than entries and exits, and decisive for the success or failure of a trader in the long run. Perhaps exits are more important than entries because any perfect or near-perfect entries are possible only in hindsight.
24.45.29.200
Submitted by brooklyn • 2007-04-17 01:17:37
Quote
No. 6 : Trader's Yoga
You need to do some Trader's Yoga
203.101.234.87
Submitted by Forex Trader • 2007-04-18 10:55:42
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