Elliott Waves Are The Worst

January 4, 2008 by Trader Rich 

I get emails or comments from time to time from other traders experiencing the same issues as I do and maybe you.  I like posting them here.  I really don't know if Elliott Waves suck or not.   Thanks Alex.


Rich, I have been reader of your site for 6 months already and I have been having both success and bad luck in my trading initially until I lost almost 90% of my trading capital trying to use Elliot Waves. Damn it, that's the worst method/strategy out there. Now I am trying to recover. A while ago I discovered Nicotina's strategy, it's an automated system and it has an EA available. Since then I have recovered 68% of my initial capital (during few months). The point I'm trying to make:

It's difficult out there, and it gets even more difficult if you don't have confidence. I was not confident and rather scared after I busted my account.  What worked for me to regain that confidence was Nicotina's strategy.  You would be amazed on the power of a winning strategy over your "discretion" in the market. The majority of the wins came in situations I was SURE it would be a loser.  Don't get me wrong, I believe in "discretion" but it seems "discretion" starts working only when you're CONFIDENT and playing on the casino's money. Until then, you can rely more on automated systems.  Just my 2 cents as you are returning to trading after a long break. Best wishes in the new year!!! 

Thanks again Alex.  I checked out Nicotina's strategy and it's a common strategy where you create a box based on the high and low during a particular period.  If the price breaks the top of the box, you go long.  If the price breaks the bottom of the box, you go short.  This strategy trades the GBP/JPY (a highly volatile pair) based on a box drawn of the high and low between 1:00 pm EST and 9:00 pm EST.  I've always liked these simple strategies and they're great if you're not around to watch the market.  You put two trades orders in at 9:00 pm EST and if one of them triggers, you're on your way.  The stop loss mentioned is 50 pips with a target of 100 pips.  I only read the first few threads on Forex Factory so I don't know if the strategy has changed.  Check it out for yourself if you're interested. 

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Comments

6 Responses to “Elliott Waves Are The Worst”

  1. Motu on January 4th, 2008 6:17 pm

    Hi Rich

    Great to see you back in the game! Just a note with Nicotina’s system…it uses 17:00GMT through to 01:00GMT…have a look at the forex factory link I’ve posted. Cheers, Motu

  2. Forex Trader on January 4th, 2008 6:45 pm

    Whoops…a clarification…Rich you’re right with your times…It’s LONDON time Nicotina uses…not GMT.

    See the following from inside the thread (post #285):

    “It changed when Britain went off of their DST (I think they call it Summer Time) which was a week before we did.

    The window is 1800 until 0200 London time.

    During the Summer, that is 1700 - 0100 GMT.”

    Sorry for that, Motu.

  3. Rich on January 4th, 2008 7:57 pm

    Great. Thanks Motu.

  4. Forex Trader on January 5th, 2008 11:21 am

    the only reason this guys says elliot waves sukx is becuz he cant count right..i also lost a huge chunk of my account to elliot wave,,but once u learn the strategy ur on you way to trading better.

    just my 2cent.

  5. Forex Trader on January 5th, 2008 2:30 pm

    If Elliot Waves were right, it means you can PREDICT future with certainty. And if you can predict future with CERTAINTY and others can, there will be NO MARKET. Elliot waves are good in hindsight but are terrible for forecasts.

  6. Forex Videos on January 10th, 2008 5:12 pm

    Thanks for sharing this

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