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Lessons Learned From Making a Little Profit Today |
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Wednesday, May 17, 2006 |
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I have 2 totally different subjects I want to talk about today. The first relates to the question, "When are the best times to trade forex?" Now I can tell you that I used to trade whenever I felt like it. "I'm bored, let me trade during the Asian session. I'm bored, I want to trade in the afternoon, 3 pm EST." As an absolute beginner, you're told that Forex is a 24 hour market. YES, that may be true but a lot of you that have been doing this for a while know that just because it's a 24 hour market doesn't mean you actually should place a trade at any time around the clock. A lot of what I'm talking about relates to the shorter time frames and also if you want the best entry on longer term charts. Most of the time, if you trade outside of the European and US sessions (2 a.m. EST - 11 p.m. EST) your chances of getting stopped out definately increase from my experience. Of course you have a great chance of getting stopped out during the 2-11 time frame but you also have a greater chance of hitting your target. I've found the Asian session almost untradeable. There is absolutely no volatility or direction and the time it takes to watch the market isn't worth what you may get out of it. CORRECT ME if I'm wrong but if any of you have found a successful way of trading the Asian session, let me know. You could stick to higher volatility pairs like the GBP/JPY but with a 9-11 point spread, your already in the hole if you place smaller stop losses. After 11:30 a.m., there are times when you can catch some volatility but I generally exit my positions around lunchtime because a lot of the time you just get consolidation.
The second thing I want to talk about are my entry mistakes.
I think it is important to mention the numerous times that I have been burned when I've entered a position a bit too early. Generally I have 2 rules when channel trading during higher volatility sessions especially when I'm trading the 15 minute charts:
- Entering before the candle closes is a big NO-NO unless #2
- Allow the price to push at least 10 pips past your channel line
Today wasn't a bad trading day, I made $320 but should have made twice that amount. I entered long on the GBP/USD when it closed above the upper channel by 1 pip. The problem with this is that I'm putting too much faith in my charting software and not taking into consideration that momentum may have waned and this is just the tailend of the upward move. For example, forex quotes are not the same amongst brokers and software providers. An upper channel line drawn on Esignal chart may be different from an upper channel line drawn on a Tradestation chart. So just because the GBP broke the upper channel line on my Esignal chart today doesn't mean that it broke the upper channel line elsewhere! So I could have increased my chances of profiting if I would have given the price a little more breathing room. I'm learning from experience that not giving the price a little breathing room or not waiting for the candle to close can cost me money.
Forex Trading
Learn Forex
May 2006
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Last Updated ( Wednesday, May 17, 2006 )
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